I am afraid we will have to payattention to what is really happening in the rocket business. The hard technical problems are long solvedand all that expensive engineering design is wonderfully computerized allowingrapid metal cutting and a collapsed time frame for delivery of a new bird.
We need the new birds. NASA hasexited the space shuttle business although we will now see craft able todeliver a couple of astronauts to the space station which is good enough whenyou also deliver by separate lifter a fifty ton payload. I think this system is naturally a safer and obviouslycheaper way to sustain a low orbit development program.
The next five years promises tobe the golden age of space rocketry. Notonly is private industry rolling up its sleeves, but a whole range of nationalprograms are also hitting their stride. They all can get into low earth orbit and stay a while.
SpaceX Unveils its New 'Falcon Heavy' Rocket, a 22-Story Heavy-LiftBehemoth
More than twice the payload of a Delta IV at one-third the cost
The Falcon Heavy Lifts Off via SpaceX
Private spaceflight concern SpaceX has been teasing the public for morethan a week with rumblings of a bigannouncement today. Indeed, that announcement is big: about 22 stories big.SpaceX founder Elon Musk today unveiled the company’s next big thing, theFalcon Heavy rocket, a massive launch vehicle with a cargo capacity of 117,000pounds.
SpaceX already has a deal inked with NASA to become the first privatespace agency to resupply the International Space Station using its smallerFalcon 9 rocket and Dragon capsule. The 27-engine Falcon Heavy, however, isaimed at hurling large government and commercial payloads into Earth orbit, andto do it on the (relatively) cheap.
By large payloads, we mean very large. The 227-foot Falcon Heavybooster is currently under construction at SpaceX’s California HQ, and when complete it willdwarf anything rivals can throw at it. The closest U.S. analog from NASA’s heavy-liftheyday would be the Saturn V, the rocket that carried the Apollo program to themoon. The closest thing the private sector can offer by way of comparison isUnited Launch Alliance’sDelta IV, a 50,000-pound capacity booster which currently launches thePentagon’s heavy payloads for up to $275 million per launch.
The Falcon Heavy, SpaceX says, offers a clear-cut cost advantage. Forjust $80-125 million, customers can get more than twice the payload into orbitaboard a Falcon Heavy. That, according to Musk, is a new world record for costper pound to orbit.
Of course, it’s easier to name a competitive price point before yourrocket is completed than afterward when all the costs are tallied. Still, witha capacity like the Falcon Heavy’s SpaceX should have no problem selling cargospace assuming costs don’t spiral wildly out of control. That’s exciting, notonly because it bodes well for the private space industry and for companieslooking for a lower cost of entry into Earth orbit, but because for the firsttime in a long time we’re going to see something as awesomely powerful as themighty Saturn V take to the launchpad.
When will that be? SpaceX aims to launch their new heavy-lifter in ademo flight from California’sVandenberg AFB by end of next year.
With new rocket, SpaceX is poised to make a giant leap
Space Exploration Technologies, the company that is reshaping the spaceindustry, plans to announce the development of a massive 22-story rocket tolaunch military and commercial payloads into orbit.
An artist's rendering of the Falcon Heavy. Space ExplorationTechnologies hopes to hold a demonstration launch by the end of 2012. (SpaceExploration Technologies / April 4, 2011) By W.J. Hennigan, Los Angeles Times
April 5, 2011, 8:00 a.m.
Work is quietly underway in the South Bay on a massive 22-story rocketwhose power is rivaled in the U.S. only by the mighty Saturn V rocket, whichtook man to the moon, in a risky private venture that could herald a new era inspace flight.
Dubbed Falcon Heavy, the 27-engine booster is being assembled by rocket makerSpace Exploration Technologies Corp., or SpaceX, at its sprawling complex in Hawthorne where it hasabout 1,100 workers.
The rocket, which has twice the lifting capability of the next largest launcherbuilt by a U.S. company, isbeing announced Tuesday at the National Press Club in Washington.
"We're embarking on something that's unprecedented in the spaceindustry," Elon Musk, the company's chief executive, told The Times."This is territory that has only belonged to the U.S. government — with its tens ofbillions of dollars."
Musk's company is building the 227-foot-tall Falcon Heavy even though there areno guarantees that the military orNASA will step forward to pay for the rocket to lift its payloads— or even astronauts — into space someday.
SpaceX hopes to launch it in a demonstration flight from Vandenberg Air ForceBase, northwest of Santa Barbara, at the end of next year.
The undertaking to be announced by Musk was hyped all last week on the Internetwith a video laden with fiery blast-offs proclaiming "Something new iscoming. 4.5.11." The 30-second clip highlighted SpaceX's recent launches,boasted that the work was done "at a fraction of the cost" and asked"What's next?"
The video and Tuesday's announcement underscored the unique role that SpaceXhopes to play in shaping the nation's future in space. Launches on the FalconHeavy would cost from $80 million to $125 million. The company is paying fordevelopment costs of the rocket, Musk said, in anticipation that if it buildsit, customers will come.
In December, SpaceX became the first private company to blast a spacecraft intoEarth's orbit and have it return intact.
The unmanned flight was intended to show NASA that SpaceX could handle the taskof carrying cargo into space.
With federal money in short supply, the U.S. government is expected to turnto private industry to play a bigger role in building rockets, carrying cargo,running space missions and possibly carrying astronauts to the InternationalSpace Station.
SpaceX's selling point is its low price per launch.
The approach has worked. NASA has already invested $298 million in seed moneyto help SpaceX develop and build its smaller nine-engine Falcon 9 rocket andits Dragon space capsule. The space agency has awarded the company a$1.6-billion contract to have SpaceX's Dragon transport cargo to the spacestation — with trips possibly starting later this year.
SpaceX has also signed lucrative deals with commercial satellite makers to lifttheir precious hardware into space. The company's backlog includes the largestcommercial deal of its kind: a $492-million contract with telecommunicationscompany Iridium Communications Inc. of McLean, Va.
"SpaceX has established credibility in the commercial market and withNASA," said Tim Farrar, president of consulting and research firm Telecom,Media & Finance Associates.
"The Falcon Heavy is going to open more markets."
SpaceX does not have a contract with the Air Force, which handlescommunications and spy satellites launches, or the National ReconnaissanceOffice, the secretive federal umbrella agency that operates spy satellites.
Musk said the Falcon Heavy will change that.
"The Air Force has expressed interest," he said. "I'm veryconfident that we will have a deal by the time of the Falcon Heavy demoflight."
The Pentagon currently has only has one launch provider, United LaunchAlliance, a joint venture of Lockheed Martin Corp. and Boeing Co. The company's Delta IV Heavy is thevehicle that lifts its $1-billion satellites into space. It is the nation'slargest unmanned rocket, capable of lifting a maximum payload of about 50,000pounds into low earth orbit. Each rocket costs up to $275 million, the Federal Aviation Administration estimated.
The Falcon Heavy will give the Pentagon another option, Musk said, bybeing able to lift 117,000 pounds to low Earth orbit and sell for a fraction ofthe price, Musk said.
"There's no point in matching the competition," he said. "Wewant to steamroll them. We're trying to make this a complete no-brainer."
SpaceX said it can keep its costs down because it manufacturers almost all ofits parts in-house, mostly in a complex in Hawthorne where fuselages for Boeing's 747jumbo jet were once assembled.
Much like the early days of NASA, the company has a cadre of young engineers —the average age is in the early 30s — who work for a fraction of the salarythey could make at larger aerospace companies. They work for SpaceX because itoperates more like a Silicon Valley start-upthan an entrenched rocket builder.
Visitors at SpaceX headquarters are more likely to see an engineer wearing ahoodie or a baseball cap than sporting horn-rimmed glasses and a crew cut.
That's by design. Musk, 39, came from the Silicon Valley.He started SpaceX after making a fortune when he sold online payment businessPayPal Inc. in 2002. Armed with his personal fortune and venture capitalistcontacts, he started SpaceX.
"The best and brightest want to work for them right out of school,"said Jay Gullish, a space and telecommunications analyst at Futron Corp., a Bethesda, Md.,firm. "They're doing things that in the private sector has never been donebefore."
Indeed. The last U.S.-built rocket more powerful than the Falcon Heavy was theSaturn V. At the time, rocket pioneer Wernher von Braun oversaw the developmentof NASA's Apollo missions. That rocket was 350 feet tall and had twice thelifting power of the Falcon Heavy.
Musk envisions a day when the Falcon Heavy not only launches satellites butalso carries robots and astronauts to Mars.
"Other than the Saturn V, this is the most capable launcher inhistory," Musk said. "When this thing goes off, it will be prettyepic."