M. C. Serreze et al., The Cryosphere, 2009, The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification

The Cryosphere, 3 (2009) 11-19; www.the-cryosphere.net/3/11/2009/

The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification

M. C. Serreze1, A. P. Barrett1, J. C. Stroeve1, D. N. Kindig1, and M. M. Holland2

1
National Snow and Ice Data Center, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA
2Climate and Global Dynamics Division, Earth and Sun Systems Laboratory National Center for Atmospheric Research Boulder CO, USA

Abstract

Rises in surface and lower troposphere air temperatures through the 21st century are projected to be especially pronounced over the Arctic Ocean during the cold season. This Arctic amplification is largely driven by loss of the sea ice cover, allowing for strong heat transfers from the ocean to the atmosphere. Consistent with observed reductions in sea ice extent, fields from both the NCEP/NCAR and JRA-25 reanalyses point to emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification in the last decade.

Final Revised Paper (PDF, 659 KB) Discussion Paper (TCD)

© Author(s) 2009. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Citation: Serreze, M. C., Barrett, A. P., Stroeve, J. C., Kindig, D. N., and Holland, M. M. (2009). The emergence of surface-based Arctic amplification, The Cryosphere, 3, 11-19.

Link to abstract: http://www.the-cryosphere.net/3/11/2009/tc-3-11-2009.html