Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
Atmospheric CO2 concentrations during ancient greenhouse climates were similar to those predicted for A.D. 2100
D. O. Breecker**, Z. D. Sharp and L. D. McFadden (MSC03-2040, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87131, U.S.A.)Abstract
Quantifying atmospheric CO2 concentrations ([CO2]atm) during Earth’s ancient greenhouse episodes is essential for accurately predicting the response of future climate to elevated CO2 levels. Empirical estimates of [CO2]atm during Paleozoic and Mesozoic greenhouse climates are based primarily on the carbon isotope composition of calcium carbonate in fossil soils. We report that greenhouse [CO2]atm have been significantly overestimated because previously assumed soil CO2 concentrations during carbonate formation are too high. More accurate [CO2]atm, resulting from better constraints on soil CO2, indicate that large (1,000s of ppmV) fluctuations in [CO2]atm did not characterize ancient climates and that past greenhouse climates were accompanied by concentrations similar to those projected for A.D. 2100.
**Correspondence e-mail: breecker@jsg.utexas.edu.
- * , where R equals 13C/12C and the subscripts “sam” and “std” refer to the unknown sample and a standard (Pee Dee Belemnite, PDB), respectively.
- † Soil temperature (needed to calculate ) is typically assumed; is either held constant (10) or is estimated from the δ13C value of contemporaneous marine carbonates (e.g., 12) or well-preserved organic material (e.g., 8); is either calculated from (e.g., 12) or taken to equal the δ13C value of well-preserved organic material (e.g., 8).
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