This work goes a long way to lock in the time frame associated with the Eemian and if it reflects the last time that we passed through the Sirius cluster toward which we are presently heading, then the solar orbit is a little longer that previously indicated It also suggests that time estimates drawn from Antarctic cores appear to be much shorter which suggests that Greenland may be an over estimation or Antarctica is an under estimation.
This record seems to suggest that the orbit is around 150,000 to 170,000 years. We are now speeding up toward Sirius and we do not have a good idea of our present speed. A modest variation will make a huge difference in our actual arrival times, so it is tricky to make a decent guess. We could be as little as twenty thousand years away from a pass though Sirius which the record suggests lasts for about fifteen thousand years with perhaps a third been subjected to strong global warming.
Ice Core Drilling Effort Helps Assess Abrupt Climate Change Risks
by Staff Writers
An international drilling team involving CU-Boulder has hit bedrock 1.5 miles below the icy surface of Greenland , pulling up deep ice cores from the last interglacial period that should help climate scientists assess the risks of abrupt climate change on a warming Earth. Credit: Image courtesy NEEM ice core drilling project.
An international science team involving the University of Colorado at Boulder that is working on the North Greenland Eemian Ice Drilling project hit bedrock July 27 after two summers of work, drilling down more than 1.5 miles in an effort to help assess the risks of abrupt future climate change on Earth.
Led by Denmark and the United States
While three previous ice cores drilled in Greenland in the last 20 years recovered ice from the Eemian, the deepest layers were compressed and folded, making the data difficult to interpret.
The new effort, known as NEEM, has allowed researchers to obtain thicker, more intact annual ice layers near the bottom of the core that are expected to contain crucial information about how Earth's climate functions, said CU-Boulder Professor Jim White, lead U.S. investigator on the project.
"Scientists from 14 countries have come together in a common effort to provide the science our leaders and policy makers need to plan for our collective future," said White, who directs CU-Boulder's Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research and is an internationally known ice core expert. "I hope that NEEM is a foretaste of the kind of cooperation we need for the future, because we all share the world."
Annual ice layers formed over millennia in Greenland by compressed snow reveal information on past temperatures and precipitation levels, as well as the contents of ancient atmospheres, said White. Ice cores from previous drilling efforts revealed temperature spikes of more than 20 degrees Fahrenheit in just 50 years in the Northern Hemisphere.
White said the new NEEM ice cores will more accurately portray past changes in temperatures and greenhouse gas concentrations in the Eemian, making it the best analogue for future climate change on Earth. An international study released by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration last week showed the first decade of the 21st century was the warmest on record for the planet.
The NEEM project involves 300 scientists and students and is led by Professor Dorthe Dahl-Jensen, director of the University of Copenhagen United States
The two meters of ice just above bedrock from NEEM - which is located at one of the most inaccessible parts of the Greenland ice sheet - go beyond the Eemian interglacial period into the previous ice age and contains rocks and other material that have not seen sunlight for hundreds of thousands of years, said White.
The researchers expect the cores to be rich in DNA and pollen that can tell scientists about the plants that existed in Greenland before it became covered with ice.
The cores samples are being studied in detail using a suite of measurements, including stable water isotopes that reveal information about temperature and moisture changes back in time.
The team is using state-of-the art laser instruments to measure the isotopes, as well as atmospheric gas bubbles trapped in the ice and ice crystals to understand past variations in climate on a year-by-year basis, said White.
As part of the project, the researchers want to determine how much smaller the Greenland ice sheet was 120,000 years ago when the temperatures were higher than present, as well as how much and how fast the Greenlandice sheet contributed to sea level.
"We expect that our findings will increase our knowledge on the future climate system and increase our ability to predict the speed and final height of sea level rise during the Eemian," said Dahl-Jensen.
The NEEM facility includes a large dome, a drilling rig to extract 3-inch in diameter ice cores, drilling trenches, labs and living quarters. The United States
Other nations involved in NEEM include Belgium , Canada , France , Germany , Iceland , Japan , Korea , the Netherlands , Sweden , Switzerland and the United Kingdom U.S. institutions involved in the effort include Oregon State University , Penn State , the University of California, San Diego and Dartmouth College
Other CU-Boulder participants include postdoctoral researcher Vasilii Petrenko and doctoral student Tyler Jones. White also is a professor in CU-Boulder's geological sciences department.
The vast majority of climate scientists attribute rising temperatures on Earth to increased greenhouse gases pumped into the atmosphere as a result of human activity. In 2008 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change concluded that temperatures on Earth could rise by as much as 10 degrees F above today's temperatures in the next century, primarily due to atmospheric greenhouse gases.
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