Showing posts with label Fraud. Show all posts

Research fraud by Douglass, Christy, Pearsona & Singer

http://www.eastangliaemails.com/emails.php?eid=825&filename=1197325034.txt

From: Tom Wigley
To: santer1@xxxxxxxxx.xxx
Subject: Re: [Fwd: [Fwd: FW: Press Release from The Science & Environmental Policy Project]]
Date: Mon, 10 Dec 2007 17:17:14 -0700
Cc: carl mears , Frank Wentz , Tom Wigley , Steven Sherwood , John Lanzante , "'Dian J. Seidel'" , Melissa Free , Karl Taylor , Steve Klein , Leopold Haimberger , "Thorne, Peter" , "'Philip D. Jones'"

Dear all,

I think the scientific fraud committed by Douglass needs to
be exposed. His co-authors may be innocent bystanders, but
I doubt it.

In normal circumstances, what Douglass has done would cause
him to lose his job -- a parallel is the South Korean cloning
fraud case.

I have suggested that someone like Chris Mooney should be
told about this.

Tom.

++++++++++++++++++++

Ben Santer wrote:

> Dear folks,
>
> I knew this would happen. In my opinion, we should respond to this
> continued misrepresentation of the science sooner rather than later.
>
> With best regards,
>
> Ben
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Benjamin D. Santer
> Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison
> Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
> P.O. Box 808, Mail Stop L-103
> Livermore, CA 94550, U.S.A.
> Tel: (925) 422-2486
> FAX: (925) 422-7675
> email: santer1@xxxxxxxxx.xxx
> ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
> Subject:
> [Fwd: FW: Press Release from The Science & Environmental Policy Project]
> From:
> "Thomas.R.Karl"
> Date:
> Mon, 10 Dec 2007 17:23:12 -0500
> To:
> _NESDIS NCDC CCSP Temp Trends Lead Authors
>
>
> To:
> _NESDIS NCDC CCSP Temp Trends Lead Authors
>
>
>
> FYI --- related to trop-sfc temps
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
> *From:* George Marshall Institute [mailto:info@xxxxxxxxx.xxx]
> *Sent:* Monday, December 10, 2007 4:24 PM
> *To:* info@xxxxxxxxx.xxx
> *Subject:* Press Release from The Science & Environmental Policy Project
>
> */Press Release from The Science & Environmental Policy Project/**/ /*
>
> **Where & When**
>
> *The National Press Club*
>
> *529 14th Street, NW, 13th Floor*
>
> *Lisagor Room*
>
> *Washington, DC 20045*
>
> **
>
> **December 14, 2007 **
>
> **8am-11am **
>
> **
>
> *Breakfast refreshments will be served.*
>
> **
>
> **/To RSVP, please email info@xxxxxxxxx.xxx . /**
>
> //
>
>
>
> You are invited to a timely breakfast briefing
>
> on December 14, 2007 at 8:30 a.m. at the National Press Club,
> organized by
>
> The Science & Environmental Policy Project (SEPP).
>
> As Al Gore collects his Nobel Prize and 15,000(more or less) in Bali
> struggle to find a successor regime for the ineffective and unlamented
> Kyoto Protocol, an 'inconvenient truth' has emerged:
>
> NATURE RULES THE CLIMATE: HUMAN-PRODUCED GREENHOUSE GASES ARE NOT
> RESPONSIBLE FOR GLOBAL WARMING. Therefore, schemes to control CO2
> emissions are ineffective and pointless, though very costly.
>
> Come and listen to the authors of a peer-reviewed scientific study,
> just published in the International Journal of Climatology (of the
> Royal Meteorological Society), present their startling findings.
>
> Presenters:
>
> *Prof. David Douglass*, University of Rochester: GH Models clash with
> best observations
>
> *Prof. John Christy*, University of Alabama: How GH models
> overestimate GH warming
>
> *Prof. S. Fred Singer*, University of Virginia: Changes in solar
> activity control the climate.
>
> I am sure you will appreciate the importance of their new result. Once
> one accepts the documented evidence that CO2 is insignificant in
> warming the climate, all kinds of consequences follow logically:
>
> * 

The paper in question here:  http://www.pas.rochester.edu/~douglass/papers/Published%20JOC1651.pdf

Eli Rabett: Ed Darrell found something interesting in the CRU e-mails -- fraud by Douglass, Christy, Pearsona & Singer

Something interesting comes this way

by Eli Rabett, Rabett Run blog, November 22, 2009

Ed Darrell has found something interesting in the CRU e-mails (Ed has a nice bathtub to wash in after wading in so you don't have to).
Sure enough, with just a few minutes of searching the e-mails, I found references to ethical breaches in cooking of data, and a discussion about how to talk about the data and the issue in public.

The paper involved is this one:
David H. Douglass, John R. Christy, Benjamin D. Pearsona and S. Fred Singer, “A comparison of tropical temperature trends with model predictions,” INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Int. J. Climatol. (2007). Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/joc.1651
and the discussion of what to do about it
One of the e-mails is quite explicit:
I think the scientific fraud committed by Douglass needs to be exposed. His co-authors may be innocent bystanders, but I doubt it.
Fraud? Right there in front of everyone? In the climate debate?

In the end, the scientists in the discussion determined not to hold a press conference to announce a finding of fraud, but instead to hunker down and work on publishing datasets that would contradict the alleged fraudulent paper, and establish their case with data instead of invective and press conferences.

They even declined to rush to inform the public of the fraud after a lengthy series of attempts to duplicate the results with well-known, accurate methods on accepted data:
More at the link with links to the correspondence. Eli eagerly awaits comments from Douglass, Christy, Pearsona and Singer. Eli is a foolish, but ever hopeful bunny. You can pull the angora over his eyes.

Link to Rabett Run blog post:  http://rabett.blogspot.com/2009/11/something-interesting-comes-this-way-ed.html