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Jason Box to retrieve Petermann Glacier photos in 2011


Scientist to Retrieve Detailed Photos of Greenland’s 2010 Record Ice Melt

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You’ll forgive Jason Box for being a little impatient these days. After all, you would be too if you were in his position. As a geologist specializing in Greenland's glaciers and climate at Ohio State’s Byrd Polar Research Center, in the summer of 2009 Box placed high resolution, wide-angle time-lapse cameras along the Petermann Glacier in northwestern Greenland, near where it flows into the sea.

Polar Researcher Jason Box placed time-lapse cameras along the Petermann Glacier in 2009. Credit: Ohio State University/Jason Box.
Then, this past summer, a 290 square kilometer chunk of ice (that’s about four times the size of Manhattan)broke off the ice shelf and floated away. Those cameras, as far as he knows, captured the extraordinary event in vivid detail.
There’s just one problem — he hasn’t been able to go back to retrieve the images.
So far the world has only seen NASA satellite images of the ice shelf breakup, which, interesting as they may be, are difficult to put into context. On-the-ground imagery of such an ice loss event could help drive home the reality of how quickly climate change is reshaping the Arctic, and what it means for the rest of the world given the ice’s role in raising global sea levels.
Unfortunately for Box, who served as the lead author of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) “2010 Arctic Report Card,” he was unable to obtain the funding and logistical support last year — such as a ship and a helicopter — needed to retrieve the hourly images, and add more equipment in an effort to document the glacier’s movement.
“It’s likely [the cameras] operated,” Box says, “and if they did, some very wide angle, high res. photos” were obtained, pointed right at the area where the ice broke free from the glacier.
“It was pretty difficult to turn our backs on it this year,” he says, noting that, thanks to new support from the National Science Foundation and a donor in the U.K., he plans to return to Petermann with his colleagues by the spring of 2011.
“We just need to put the logistics into place.”

Growing Concern About Fate of Marine-Terminating Glaciers

The Petermann Glacier isn’t just a photogenic location, it’s also a central focus of research as scientists try to ascertain how quickly and extensively Greenland’s ice cover is melting due at least in part to global climate change. Their focus is increasingly turning to Greenland’s northern glaciers, which are showing the greatest mass loss and are dominating the losses of ice area, Box says.
Scientists are using satellites such as NASA’s Gravity Recovery and Climate (GRACE) satellite and field studies to keep tabs on glacial ice. They are observing differences in melting trends between so-called “ice shelf glaciers,” which have a floating area of ice known as an “ice tongue” that is present year-round, and glaciers that develop seasonal ice tongues.
Box says ice shelf glaciers, such as Petermann, are showing a greater sensitivity to the warming climate, but that large amounts of ice were lost throughout Greenland during the 2010 melt season.
“There is a signal of ice shelf loss within these warm years that suggests that the ice shelf loss at Petermann and some of these other large glaciers is with some confidence triggered by these warm summers,” he says.

Cumulative net annual area changes for the 35 widest marine-terminating glacier outlets to the Greenland ice sheet. Year 2010 net area changes are shown with and without the Petermann glacier loss. Credit: NOAA Arctic Report Card.
As is explained in the Arctic Report Card, which was released last month, scientists are especially concerned about marine-terminating glaciers such as Petermann, because they serve as the outlets for large amounts of ice from the land into the sea.
Box says a large calving event, such as what occurred with the Petermann Glacier, can speed up a glacier’s slide towards the sea:
It is of concern because there is no expected or known mechanism to reverse the accelerated loss. It’s like removing a cork from a bottle. It will take an extended cold period to grow back the glacier ice on the front of a glacier like Petermann. 
“The big question I think everyone wants to know,” Box says, is whether global warming is driving the ice loss such as the calving event seen last summer.
“[The] Balance of evidence is strongly suggesting” a relationship to warming temperatures, Box says, but exactly how such warming is driving ice loss is unclear. He notes two warming-related processes that are probably playing a role: surface melt and “hydrofracture,” a process by which water fills crevices in the ice and forces them apart.

Warmest Summer in Greenland Since Records Began in 1873.

According to the report card, last summer was Greenland’s warmest since instrumental records began. Collectively, marine-terminating glaciers lost an area of 419 square kilometers, which is 3.4 times the loss rate seen during each of the previous eight years.
“There is now clear evidence that the ice area loss rate of the past decade is greater than loss rates pre-2000,” the report card states. The report also notes an expansion of the area and duration of Greenland ice melt during 2010, compared to past years.
As Box puts it, “What happened in Greenland really was exceptional in the observational record.”
See our interactive feature “Envisioning Ice Loss” as well as field reports and graphics of climate change in the far north.


Difference (days) in summer 2010 melt duration compared to the 1979-2007 average. Credit: NOAA Arctic Report Card.
Link: http://www.climatecentral.org/breaking/news/scientist_to_retrieve_detailed_photos_of_greenlands_2010_record_ice_melt

Humboldt and Petermann Glaciers, northern Greenland, July 26, 2009; MODIS Rapidfire satellite image

MODIS Rapidfire satellite image of northern Greenland and the Humboldt and Petermann Glaciers, July 26, 2009:

http://rapidfire.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/realtime/single.php?2009207/crefl2_143.A2009207101500-2009207102000.250m.jpg

More on this later.

Greenpeace's Nick Cobbing on the Arctic Sunrise at the Petermann & Humboldt Glacier in northern Greenland

Hot Topic: Global warming and the future of New Zealand; On An Island blog by Gareth

Hot Topic: Global warming and the future of New Zealand

On an island

by Gareth on July 24, 2009

EOBaffin.jpg

NASA’s Earth Observatory is without doubt one of my favourite web sites. As I write, the above view of sea ice off Baffin Island (or a version of it) is their Image of the Day, and aside from the obvious beauties of the swirls of melting sea ice (memorably described in a comment at RealClimate as “frappucino”), I reckon you can make out the two chunks of last year’s Petermann Ice Island that I blogged about last week. My two red arrows mark the huge relict chunks of ice shelf. Click on the image (or here) for the full NASA version (about 3.5MB), and then go and look at the icebergs pouring out of the fjords on Greenland’s west coast (top right of the big picture). Dramatic and lovely, and frightening at the same time.

In other Arctic news, there are a new set of forecasts for this year’s minimum at the SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook site: most teams are picking a result somewhere between 2007 and 2008, but two of the sea ice modelling efforts are still suggesting a new record is possible. The NSIDC’s July 22nd update notes that 2009’s melt is now running ahead of 2008, and looking at their daily graph of extent, the current rate of melt seems to be faster than 2007. This has prompted some speculation about when the NE and NW Passages might open. Scanning the Cryosphere Today and University of Bremen maps, it looks as though the NE Passage (above Russia) might open soon. Blue colours on the CT image correspond the ice swirls on the NASA image above, and there’s still plenty of melt season to run. The NW Passage doesn’t look as sure a prospect: I think it could open, but perhaps only on the northern route. We live in interesting times…

Plus: great images of the Petermann Ice Tongue from the Greenpeace science team up there at the moment at the Guardian and Discovery Channel. Not to be missed.

[David Gilmour]

Link to blog: http://hot-topic.co.nz/on-an-island/


Reader Laura comments:

Laura said...

Just to the north of that area of the Greenland coast, the entire coastline has essentially become hundreds of miles of calving glacier front:
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/images/MODIS/Melville/20090722AQUA.jpg
July 24, 2009, 6:22 p.m.

And so, I decided to add that photo -- click to enlarge the details:

The Petermann Glacier: A river runs along the top of it


A river runs along the top of it

by Kieran Mulvaney, Earth Pub, Discovery's global science blog, July 19, 2009

Kieran Mulvaney is the author of At the Ends of the Earth: A History of the Polar Regions and The Whaling Season: An Inside Account of the Struggle to Stop Commercial Whaling. He’s finishing a book on polar bears. He’s co-founder of the Whale and Dolphin Conservation Society, a leader of Greenpeace expeditions to Antarctica and the Arctic.

[BLOGGER'S NOTE: Please click on that photo of the kayak, it really gets big, wow!]

At 82 degrees North, farther north than almost every other human being, three scientists and two crew on board the Arctic Sunrise did what anybody would do in that situation.

They paddled kayaks across the top of a glacier.

The reasoning was simple enough. The scientists -- Jason Box of the Byrd Polar Research Center at Ohio State University, Alun Hubbard of Aberystwyth University in Wales, and Richard Bates of the University of St. Andrews in Scotland -- planned to deploy a special ice-penetrating radar of Hubbard's devising, to map as best they could the interior of the Petermann Glacier, and perhaps shed some light on which it is apparently on the point of breaking into several pieces.

C1207099 To facilitate the task, we had equipped with the Sunrise with just about everything we could think of that might be used to drag a radar across the surface of a glacier, from a snowmobile to enormous kites of the kind that on-board ice expert Eric Philips once used to kite-ski across Greenland.

But we had little idea of what to expect, and when the ship arrived at its location in the Nares Strait and once researchers and crew began examining the glacier up close, they found that it was far more pitted and worn than we imagined. Melt lakes and even whirlpools dotted its surface, and widening cracks filled with water to create melt rivers that carved through the icy terrain as if it were the Grand Canyon.

C1207096 Instead of being beaten by the environment, they adapted to it, and one morning last week, they set out in three kayaks, radar antenna strung between and behind them. They paddled through cobalt blue water, flanked by kilometer-high mountains fronted by vast expanses of glacier ice.

Twenty-five kilometers later, they had data that appeared to suggest, according to Hubbard, that the glacier's basal topography was "highly variable" but that, on balance, "the ice is thinner than we might expect."

And several thousand miles away, an expedition coordinator and Discovery Earth blogger opened his e-mail and exulted at the sight of these remarkable images of an unusual kayaking adventure.

Photographs by Nick Cobbing/Greenpeace

Link to article: http://blogs.discovery.com/earth/2009/07/a-river-runs-along-the-top-of-it.html




Jason Box: Extreme Ice Survey at the Petermann Glacier, Greenland, July 19, 2009

Extreme Ice Survey in far north western Greenland at 81 deg. N at Petermann Glacier

19 July 2009, Sunday, Meltfactor.org

With the assistance of the Greenpeace crew and donors, the Greenpeace ship Arctic Sunrise and the Greenpeace helicopter, five time-lapse [Extreme Ice Survey] cameras, are now ‘watching’ the Petermann glacier floating ice shelf. Petermann is one of the widest outlets from the vast Greenland inland ice sheet. Each minute, we get high-resolution pictures from a variety of points of view from high cliffs 2500-3600 ft. (760-1090 m) above the enormous 10 mile (16 km) wide ice shelf. The views are surreal, the scale deceiving. The clear dry air and absence of artificial objects such as roads or buildings makes distances the matter of speculation. It’s only after imagining an Empire State Building into your view that you realize, we are three times above its height. Mind your step!

We’re interested in this site because Petermann has lost an ice area of 150 km² in the past 10 years. Cracks have formed and widened in the lower half of the 1500 km² (580 sq. mile) floating glacier. A crack nearest the end of the fjord suggests that a 100+ km² (39+ sq. mile) area of floating ice may detach as a 5-billion-ton ice island this summer melt season. That area is larger than Manhattan Island.

Greenpeace would like to use this event to raise urgency of ongoing Arctic climate warming, glacier loss, and accelerating global sea level rise, to urge policy makers at the global climate negotiations this December in Copenhagen.

Since installation 28 June 2009, the Extreme Ice Survey cameras have captured the progressive disintegration of two Manhattan Islands size segments of sea ice, more specifically, the loss of 3.8 km² (1.5 sq. miles) of ice. At one-minute intervals, the action is very dramatic. We will be posting a video soon. Stay tuned! We expect much more breakup in the coming two weeks.

Dr. Jason E. Box installing EIS cameras beside a 1090 meter cliff overlooking Petermann Glacier

Dr. Jason E. Box, Byrd Polar Research Center and the Ohio State University, installing EIS cameras beside a 1,090 m (3,600 ft.) cliff overlooking the Petermann Glacier, far northwest Greenland.

EIS cameras seen from the air as viewing a growing crack atop ridge at Petermann Glacier

EIS cameras seen from the air as viewing a growing crack atop a 760-m (2,500-ft.) ridge at Petermann Glacier, far northwest Greenland.

EIS cameras viewing the front of Petermann Glacier

EIS cameras viewing the front of Petermann Glacier, far northwest Greenland. The darker colored ice in the foreground is thin sea ice; the lighter, glacier ice. The distance across the fjord is 16 km (10 miles). The cliff on the opposite side is 1,090 m (3,600 ft.) high; two additional EIS cameras have been installed there. All the glacier ice in this frame is expected to detach this summer.

note: Higher resolution versions of these images will be available in future; the cost of transmission large amount of data from the Greenpeace Arctic Sunrise via satellite link is an unnecessary expense.

Link to Meltfactor.org: http://www.meltfactor.org/blog/?p=85

Arctic glacier on northern Greenland (the Petermann) to lose Manhattan-sized 'tongue'

Arctic glacier to lose Manhattan-sized 'tongue'

by Catharine Brahic, NewScientist, July 14, 2009

The biggest glacier in the Arctic is on the verge of losing a chunk of ice the size of Manhattan. A group of scientists and climate change activists who are closely monitoring the Petermann glacier's ice tongue believe the rapid flow of ice is in part due to warm ocean currents moving up along the coast of Greenland, fuelled by global warming.

During the summer of last year, Jason Box of Ohio State University in Columbus noticed a huge crack in the glacier's floating ice tongue, which acts as a conveyor belt, pushing the glacier's ice through a fjord and out to sea. The crack extended almost completely from one side of the fjord to the other, 16 kilometres away.

This prompted Box and colleagues to return this year on the Arctic Sunrise, a Greenpeace vessel. The researchers are equipped with an arsenal of cameras and sensors, which they have been setting up on surrounding cliffs as well as on the ice itself.

Break imminent

Stitched together, the pictures they are taking will provide a blow-by-blow animation of the event. "We're looking on a minute by minute basis at what it's doing, how it's moving in relation to the rest of the glacier, and looking for that critical point where it fractures and breaks off," says Alun Hubbard, a glaciologist at the University of Wales, U.K.

The team believes this will happen within weeks. Only yesterday, a 3-square-kilometre chunk broke away. There are now more than 10 cracks in the ice, some 500 metres wide. The researchers expect the ice tongue to break up within the coming weeks.

When this happens, an island of ice the size of Manhattan, spanning 100 km2 holding 5 billion tonnes of ice, will break free and drift out to sea.

Melt concerns

As with all glaciers that terminate over water, big chunks of ice regularly break off the Petermann ice tongue, a process which is normally compensated for by the snow that falls on the upper reaches of the glacier. But the sheer amount of ice that could break away in a single event is concerning the scientists – five billion tonnes of ice is equivalent to nearly half of the glacier's usual annual flow.

The researchers are unsure what exactly is causing the break-up. A chunk of 1 billion tonnes of ice broke off last year and there has been an acceleration in the flow of ice over the past few years. They think a number of factors are involved including warmer ocean currents that are melting the ice from below and warmer air temperatures that are melting it from above.

"Ocean warming currents are circulating around the fjord and eroding the underbelly of Petermann glacier at an incredible rate," says Hubbard.

Driller thriller

Melting at the surface of the ice forms huge whirlpools of relatively warm fresh water that bore holes into the floating sheet. The scientists believe this process is accelerating the ice's demise.

In places, the meltwater bores holes through the ice right down to the bottom of the ice tongue. Surfacing seals are proof that some of the holes – called moulins – pierce to bottom of the ice.

Box, who in addition to posting his instruments on the ground is surveying the ice by helicopter, says the view from above is one of "innumerable turquoise pools, from puddles to lakes – thousands of them."

When the huge section of ice breaks off, it could be like uncorking a bottle. A smaller ice tongue will provide less resistance for the glacier as it flows out to sea, which ultimately will accelerate sea level rise.

Link to NewScientist article: http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn17465-arctic-glacier-to-lose-manhattansized-tongue.html