Showing posts with label Freshwater flux. Show all posts

NOAA issues Arctic report, cites ‘drastic changes’: Loss of sea ice 'messing with that thermostat for the whole globe'

U.S. issues Arctic report, cites ‘drastic changes’

Loss of sea ice 'messing with that thermostat for the whole globe'


msnbc.com staff and news service reports, October 22, 2009

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Federal scientists on Thursday issued their annual "Arctic Report Card," citing "consistent evidence" of warming in three key indicators: the atmosphere, sea ice and Greenland's ice sheet.

"The Arctic we see today is very different from the Arctic we saw even five years ago," Jackie Richter-Menge, the report’s chief technical editor, said in a statement. "It’s a warmer place with less thick and more mobile sea ice, warmer and fresher ocean water, and increased stress on caribou, reindeer, polar bears and walrus in some regions."

The Obama administration was quick to echo the findings. "Scientists are seeing drastic changes in the region from just five years ago and at rates faster than anticipated," the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said in a statement accompanying the report card.

Richard Spinrad, head of research at NOAA, said the report shows that warming temperatures are changing wind patterns in the Arctic, melting sea ice and glaciers, and affecting ocean and land life.

The Arctic is a sort of natural regulator in terms of the amount of heat stored in the ocean and ice, Spinrad told reporters, and "especially the loss of sea ice is messing with that thermostat for the whole globe."

A particular problem is the disappearance of old, thick sea ice that has been present for thousands of years, added James Overland of NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental Research Laboratory. "It's very difficult to get that (ice) back," he said.

Among the findings of the update:
  • Air temperatures over the Arctic Ocean reached an unprecedented 7 °F above normal in October-December of 2008.
  • There is evidence that the higher air temperatures are causing changes in the air circulation in both the Arctic and northern mid-latitudes.
  • The area covered by sea ice this summer was 25% below the average from 1979 to 2000 and was the third lowest since satellite records were begun in 1979.
  • The melting ice resulted in an unprecedented amount of fresh water in the surface layer of the Arctic Ocean.
  • "Record-setting summer temperatures around Greenland" led to further melt of the ice sheet.
  • The amount of land covered by snow in the winters of 2007-2008 and 2008-2009 continued the trend toward shorter snow seasons due to earlier spring melt, although there is considerable annual and regional variability.
The Arctic Report Card has been issued annually since 2006.

The 2009 report card cited "many indications of warming" for the three other tracked indicators: wildlife biology, the ocean and land.

Robert Dickson: New techniques for observing the Arctic Ocean circulation and its freshwater budget

Nuuk Climate Days 2009: Changes of the Greenland Cryosphere Workshop & The Arctic Freshwater Budget International Symposium, Nuuk, Greenland, 25-27 August 2009

Primary author: DICKSON, Robert (CEFAS, Lowestoft), r.r.dickson@cefas.co.uk

Abstract ID: O8

New techniques for observing the Arctic Ocean circulation and its freshwater budget


In one way or another, the two-way influences of global climate on the Arctic, and of the Arctic on global climate, center on its ice and freshwater budget. As the Arctic sea-ice declines, climate models anticipate regional effects on the atmospheric circulation (e.g. through changes in albedo and ocean-atmosphere heat exchange); and since the pioneering work of Bryan and Manabe in the 1980s, we have come to expect remote effects also, as a changing freshwater efflux from the Arctic reaches south to affect the Atlantic thermohaline circulation. That said, however, it remains true that climate models are inherently weak in quite a long list of the processes that are important to our understanding of how change takes place in northern seas and how it might affect climate. And the fact that the Arctic-subarctic system is both under-sampled and rapidly-changing is also problematic when establishing freshwater budgets; put simply, the large variability in the supply, storage and transfer of freshwater throughout this system may prevent us from discriminating inconsistency from change in our estimates.

After a brief recap of a representative freshwater budget for the Arctic and of how climate models expect the freshwater delivery to the Arctic to change, this talk concentrates on five areas where our understanding of the freshwater budget and the processes important to it appear to have been materially advanced during recent years, including but not necessarily restricted to the IPY. These include: (1) new ideas on the behaviour of the greatest oceanic freshwater reservoir on Earth (Proshutinsky, Toole); (2) new intricate ideas on ocean-climate feedback processes along the Arctic margin of the Beaufort and Chukchi seas as the land-fast ice thins and breaks free (Shimada); (3) new ice-thickness techniques in support of sea ice prediction (Laxon/Giles,  Wadhams, Gascard); (4) a new and practical approach to monitoring the freshwater flux through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago by combining observations with models (Prinsenberg, Peterson); and (5) new direct observations of the freshwater flux passing south through the Fram Strait (de Steur et al., Rabe et al.). Such a diverse set of examples serves to illustrate the broad front over which progress is needed -- and is being made -- in developing our understanding of these processes, their changes, their feedbacks and their likely climatic impacts to the point where they can be of practical use to the development of climate models. Meanwhile, in many cases, we are still in the process of exploration.


Contact for symposium information: Sune Nordentoft Lauritsen, e-mail: snl@space.dtu.dk